The saying is there’s nothing more exciting in sports than a Game 7 — except for having a bet on a Game 7. The Boston Bruins host the St. Louis Blues on Wednesday night for the right to lift Lord Stanley’s Cup. This has been a back-and-forth series with alternating wins through the first four games, then the Blues winning Game 5 at Boston before the Bruins returned the favor with a Game 6 victory at St. Louis.
It’s with all that in mind that I believe there’s betting value on the Blues (+150 at William Hill) in a decisive Game 7 that should be much closer to pick ’em. Seriously, how can one of these teams be favored that much over the other?
Boston backers will say home-ice advantage will be the difference as the Bruins have had a great record at home this year (29-9-3 in the regular season, just 7-5 in the playoffs) and that the -170 price is justified, but I point out that road teams are 4-2 in this series and that the Bruins were similarly favored in Games 1, 2 and 5 in Boston, yet the Blues won two of those three games — including the most recent two.
So, home-ice advantage hasn’t been all it’s cracked up to be when these evenly matched teams meet, and neither is favoritism. Underdogs are an impressive 4-1 in this series (Game 4 in St. Louis closed pick ’em, so there was no fave or ’dog), so let’s close it out with one more.
The play: Blues, +150.
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